Yes, expectations are low, deservedly soā¦but Iām stunned by Appyās fall from graceā¦not necessarily surprised by it.
App is adding on to stadium not realizing that with no NIL that they will continue to fall
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Wonder if that will affect Kellyās role as a consultant to Memphis this season. 
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https://x.com/i/status/2076725239627588082
App picked 6th of 7 in their division of the Sun Belt.
We really need to beat them this season.
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And Louisiana picked 2nd in the West.
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https://x.com/i/status/2077031570158854192
We need to get off this list pronto.
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Phillips is on record wanting to expand the CFP field to whatever it takes to get 2 ACC teams in the field, no matter how many teams that requires.
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Yeah that was painful to look at. Saw it but didnāt feel like posting.
Yeah very painful.
however. These predictions can lag behind reality especially in the G6.
I would place a bet that Albin puts together a better season than that chart reflects.
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Let me pull up Charlotteās profile and schedule at the same time.
Hereās my honest read on the 2026 Charlotte 49ers.
The Team at a Glance
Charlotteās overall offense grades at 10.3/20, defense at 9.2/20, and special teams are a real concern at just 5.1/20. Their one genuine bright spot is passing offense (13.6/20), which is the strongest unit on the roster. The offensive line (9.3/20) is a problem ā you canāt build a consistent winner when your front is that thin, and their OL averages just 310 lbs. Head coach Tim Albinās seat is listed as āSafe,ā but his coaching impact score is modest.
Schedule Breakdown (2026)
| WK | OPPONENT | SITE | OUTLOOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Citadel | Home | Win |
| 2 | Ole Miss | Away | Loss |
| 3 | App State | Away | Tough |
| 4 | Louisiana | Home | Winnable |
| 5 | Memphis | Home | Loss-lean |
| 6 | North Texas | Away | Winnable |
| 7 | Temple | Away | Winnable |
| 9 | Tulane | Home | Loss-lean |
| 10 | UAB | Away | Coin flip |
| 11 | East Carolina | Home | Winnable |
| 12 | Tulsa | Away | Winnable |
| 13 | Navy | Home | Winnable |
My Take
Three wins is absolutely the floor, not the ceiling ā and I think they clear it. The Citadel at home in Week 1 is a near-freebie. From there, youāre circling Temple, North Texas, Tulsa, and Navy as the most realistic targets on the American Athletic schedule. They only need two of those four to get to three wins.
The real question is whether Tim Albin can get to 5ā7 and bowl eligibility. That passing offense (13.6/20) is legitimate and could carry them in shootouts against comparable AAC competition. But that 5.1/20 special teams grade is the kind of thing that costs you a game you shouldnāt lose ā and in a 12-game slate, that matters.
Bottom line: 3 wins? Yes. 4ā5 wins is probably the realistic range. Getting to 6 (bowl eligible) would require the offense to mask the OL issues consistently, and thatās a harder ask
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