Just curious what the expectations would be (record wise, and CUSA ranking, etc) for the upcoming season in MBB. This is assuming we land Laron Smith or another PF/C in place of him.
Personally I would bet we win 20 games and finish in the top 4 in CUSA.
20 wins and an NIT bid hopefully, semis/championship game in the conference tourney
This sounds reasonable and attainable. I would be OK with this for next year. 
[youtube]tIfBHXjYgBY[/youtube]
My expectations with the talent we have on the roster currently we should be top 4 in CUSA regular season, 20+ wins overall, and NIT. Id like to see our RPI in the top 100. I think those are resonable and attainable goals regardless of landing smith and/or another player.
The NIT catches a lot of crap, but at this stage of our rebuild I would be proud to play there, and if we have a chance to play in Madison Square Garden I will be there.
[quote=“Nugget, post:6, topic:30319”]The NIT catches a lot of crap, but at this stage of our rebuild I would be proud to play there, and if we have a chance to play in Madison Square Garden I will be there.[/quote]NIT is far better than it used to be. If we don’t make NIT, I wouldn’t be opposed to playing in the Vegas tourney. That would be a good selling point to recruits, they’d love a Vegas trip.
It’s still too early to say for sure…
but just guessing right now I would have to agree with everyone’s comments so far, except that top 4 doesn’t mean NIT for sure. We’d either have to finish first in conference play, or do pretty well outside of conference. I would be very happy with making the NIT.
Got my season tix today!! Let’s get rollin’!!!
[quote=“2k, post:7, topic:30319”][quote=“Nugget, post:6, topic:30319”]The NIT catches a lot of crap, but at this stage of our rebuild I would be proud to play there, and if we have a chance to play in Madison Square Garden I will be there.[/quote]NIT is far better than it used to be. If we don’t make NIT, I wouldn’t be opposed to playing in the Vegas tourney. That would be a good selling point to recruits, they’d love a Vegas trip.[/quote]2k, you need to update your password. Looks like Judy has been logging into your account.
[quote=“Niner National, post:10, topic:30319”][quote=“2k, post:7, topic:30319”][quote=“Nugget, post:6, topic:30319”]The NIT catches a lot of crap, but at this stage of our rebuild I would be proud to play there, and if we have a chance to play in Madison Square Garden I will be there.[/quote]NIT is far better than it used to be. If we don’t make NIT, I wouldn’t be opposed to playing in the Vegas tourney. That would be a good selling point to recruits, they’d love a Vegas trip.[/quote]2k, you need to update your password. Looks like Judy has been logging into your account.[/quote]Ha. I stand by that comment still.
I expect us to be around .500 this year. Maybe 17-19 wins.
I’d say 18-20 wins, can go higher if we have solid play from the 5 spot.
I’ll be the optimistic one here.
If we do this and get to the final four or two of the C-USA Championship, we’ll have an NIT bid to build off of for the next season.
[table] [tr] [td]Date[/td][td]Opponent[/td][td]Site[/td][td]KenPom %[/td][td]Prediction[/td][td]Record[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/11[/td][td]Newberry[/td][td]Home[/td][td]100%[/td][td]N/A[/td][td]0-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/14[/td][td]Elon[/td][td]Away[/td][td]28%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]1-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/17[/td][td]East Carolina[/td][td]Home[/td][td]58%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]2-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/22[/td][td]USC Upstate [/td][td]Home[/td][td]73 %[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]3-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/26[/td][td]Davidson[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]15%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]3-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/28[/td][td]Appalachian State[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]82%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]4-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/30[/td][td]James Madison[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]47%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]5-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/1[/td][td]Oregon State[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]40%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]6-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/6[/td][td]Wake Forest[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]16%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]7-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/17[/td][td]Florida[/td][td]NEUT[/td][td]9%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]7-2[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/22[/td][td]Maryland[/td][td]SEMI-AWAY[/td][td]11%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]7-3[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/31[/td][td]North Texas[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]74%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]8-3 (1-0)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/2[/td][td]Rice[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]56%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]9-3 (2-0)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/5[/td][td]Western Kentucky[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]33%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]9-4 (2-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/7[/td][td]Marshall[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]27%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]10-4 (3-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/12[/td][td]Louisiana Tech[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]60%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]11-4 (4-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/14[/td][td]Southern Miss[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]77%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]12-4 (5-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/21[/td][td]Old Dominion[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]52%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]13-4 (6-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/26[/td][td]North Texas[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]48%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]14-4 (7-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/28[/td][td]Rice[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]30%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]15-4 (8-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/2[/td][td]Florida Atlantic[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]73%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]16-4 (9-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/4[/td][td]FIU[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]77%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]17-4 (10-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/9[/td][td]UAB[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]19%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]17-5 (10-2)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/11[/td][td]Middle Tennessee[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]26%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]17-6 (10-3)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/18[/td][td]Old Dominion[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]26%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]18-6 (11-3)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/23[/td][td]Western Kentucky[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]60%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]18-7 (11-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/25[/td][td]Marshall[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]53%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]19-7 (12-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]3/2[/td][td]UTSA[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]64%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]20-7 (13-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]3/4[/td][td]UTEP[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]43%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]21-7 (14-4)[/td] [/tr] [/table]
20 wins is the mark. That won’t get us in the NCAA tournament but is a step in the right direction.
[quote=“itsbraille49, post:14, topic:30319”]I’ll be the optimistic one here.
If we do this and get to the final four or two of the C-USA Championship, we’ll have an NIT bid to build off of for the next season.
[table] [tr] [td]Date[/td][td]Opponent[/td][td]Site[/td][td]KenPom %[/td][td]Prediction[/td][td]Record[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/11[/td][td]Newberry[/td][td]Home[/td][td]100%[/td][td]N/A[/td][td]0-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/14[/td][td]Elon[/td][td]Away[/td][td]28%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]1-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/17[/td][td]East Carolina[/td][td]Home[/td][td]58%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]2-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/22[/td][td]USC Upstate [/td][td]Home[/td][td]73 %[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]3-0[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/26[/td][td]Davidson[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]15%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]3-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/28[/td][td]Appalachian State[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]82%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]4-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]11/30[/td][td]James Madison[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]47%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]5-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/1[/td][td]Oregon State[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]40%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]6-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/6[/td][td]Wake Forest[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]16%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]7-1[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/17[/td][td]Florida[/td][td]NEUT[/td][td]9%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]7-2[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/22[/td][td]Maryland[/td][td]SEMI-AWAY[/td][td]11%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]7-3[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]12/31[/td][td]North Texas[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]74%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]8-3 (1-0)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/2[/td][td]Rice[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]56%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]9-3 (2-0)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/5[/td][td]Western Kentucky[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]33%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]9-4 (2-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/7[/td][td]Marshall[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]27%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]10-4 (3-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/12[/td][td]Louisiana Tech[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]60%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]11-4 (4-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/14[/td][td]Southern Miss[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]77%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]12-4 (5-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/21[/td][td]Old Dominion[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]52%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]13-4 (6-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/26[/td][td]North Texas[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]48%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]14-4 (7-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]1/28[/td][td]Rice[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]30%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]15-4 (8-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/2[/td][td]Florida Atlantic[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]73%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]16-4 (9-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/4[/td][td]FIU[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]77%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]17-4 (10-1)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/9[/td][td]UAB[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]19%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]17-5 (10-2)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/11[/td][td]Middle Tennessee[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]26%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]17-6 (10-3)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/18[/td][td]Old Dominion[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]26%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]18-6 (11-3)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/23[/td][td]Western Kentucky[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]60%[/td][td]LOSS[/td][td]18-7 (11-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]2/25[/td][td]Marshall[/td][td]HOME[/td][td]53%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]19-7 (12-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]3/2[/td][td]UTSA[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]64%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]20-7 (13-4)[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]3/4[/td][td]UTEP[/td][td]AWAY[/td][td]43%[/td][td]WIN[/td][td]21-7 (14-4)[/td] [/tr] [/table][/quote] Love the subtle move with the Newberry game being N/A, I'm comfortable with us right around 22 although I would likely lean towards our win total being lower than that.
The only way we get an NIT bid is if we win the conference regular season and lose in the conference tourney. That’s not happening. Or we would need maybe 26 wins and that’s not happening either.
I expect 17-19 wins.
[quote=“cibik02, post:17, topic:30319”]The only way we get an NIT bid is if we win the conference regular season and lose in the conference tourney. That’s not happening. Or we would need maybe 26 wins and that’s not happening either.
I expect 17-19 wins.[/quote]
Yep. That all sounds about right.
I’m really gonna hate losing at wake when we get screwed yet again by acc refs.
I’m expecting 17 to 19 wins. 20 or more would be exceeding my expectations and 16 or less would be a disappointment.
[quote=“cibik02, post:17, topic:30319”]The only way we get an NIT bid is if we win the conference regular season and lose in the conference tourney. That’s not happening. Or we would need maybe 26 wins and that’s not happening either.
I expect 17-19 wins.[/quote]
26 wins and we dance. I’m guessing 22 wins. I’ll say it again, win 2 to 3 of the big ooc games and we go dancing.