[quote=“Dowless, post:2, topic:25752”]Notice that ECU is in “The Rest” grouping.[/quote]Well, ECU did rate a “1” per ESPN’s analysis of C-USA OOC skeds!
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[font=arial]By John Gasaway
ESPN Insider
[/font][font=arial][/font] Tu Holloway is poised to lead the Xavier Musketeers to the A-10 title.
[left]1. Is everyone chasing Xavier and can anyone catch the Musketeers?
Of course everyone’s chasing Xavier in the Atlantic 10, just like everyone’s chasing Kansas in the Big 12. Both programs have dominated their leagues in recent seasons. The Musketeers have now won the conference regular-season title five years running (four times outright), officially earning them “everyone’s chasing us” status. Then again, even the Jayhawks look a little more mortal this season, and by the same token, Xavier lost three players from what was essentially a seven-man rotation in 2010-11.
One of those returning players is all-everything performer Tu Holloway, but the Musketeers’ hopes for a title defense took a hit last week when head coach Chris Mack suspended indefinitely 7-foot senior Kenny Frease for not fulfilling “all the responsibilities of a Xavier basketball player.” Regardless, most A-10 coaches would gladly take a roster that returns two all-conference stars (first-teamer Holloway and 6-1 junior Mark Lyons, a third-team selection) and adds arguably the league’s highest-rated freshman (6-4 wing Dezmine Wells). But there are enough question marks here to at least open the door for the Musketeers’ main rival – the Temple Owls. Key Questions Insider is examining a few critical issues in several conferences to kick off the 2011-12 NCAA basketball season.
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[left]2. Could Temple topple Duke?
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[left]Absolutely. If you’re looking for a team that figures to start 2011-12 vastly underrated, look no further than the Owls. Fran Dunphy lost only one starter (Lavoy Allen) from a group that outscored the A-10 by a robust 0.15 points per possession in 2011 – more or less the same margin by which the Blue Devils outperformed the ACC. The Owls meet up with the Blue Devils on Jan. 4, 2012.
Temple’s not going to fear anyone on its 2011-12 schedule. With a lineup featuring Ramone Moore, Juan Fernandez and Khalif Wyatt, the Owls should more or less pick up where they left off last year – playing at a very high level on both the offensive and defensive ends. When Temple and Duke meet up Jan. 4 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, the Blue Devils will be a legitimate favorite. But I have a hunch these two teams will actually be much closer to equal than commonly perceived.
How fast can Mike Lonergan turn around George Washington?
Lonergan’s greatest enemy in turning around George Washington, at least initially, is likely to be perceptions. The Colonials went 10-6 in the A-10 last year. They also return leading scorer Tony Taylor and three other starters, so they should be able to improve on that record this season, right? Certainly stranger things have happened, but it’s worth asking what the correct perception of this GW team really should be. You won’t often outscore your conference opponents by just 0.01 points per possession and win 10 out of 16 games, as the Colonials did in the A-10 in 2011.
In fact, it’s entirely possible that Lonergan’s team could improve its per-possession performance this year – and have a similar or even slightly worse win-loss record to show for it. One thing Lonergan definitely does not need to change is GW’s work on the offensive boards. Only La Salle got to more of its misses in A-10 play last year. Xavier’s Holloway is a shoo-in for A-10 Player of the Year.
[left]4. Who’s Tu Holloway’s stiffest competition for POY?[/left]
[left]At 6-9, St. Bonaventure senior Andrew Nicholson is a capable defensive rebounder, but where he really shines is on offense. Last year Nicholson took on a much larger role than ever before in the Bonnies’ offense and proved more than equal to that task, making 59 percent of his 2-point shots and drawing nearly seven fouls for every 40 minutes he played. Holloway and Nicholson draw fouls with similar frequency, but Holloway is a better free throw shooter, pouring in 87 percent from the line. Holloway typifies the term “scoring point guard” and could be a consensus first-team All-American in 2012. Nicholson will give Holloway a run, but the conference POY award is Holloway’s to lose.
Who’s the dark horse in the A-10?[/left]
[left]Saint Louis could stalk the conference. The Billikens return the top eight scorers from a team that was much better than its 12-19 record (6-10 in the A-10) last year would lead you to believe. True, a skeptic might say returning the top eight scorers from a team that struggled so mightily on offense isn’t necessarily good news. But SLU plays phenomenal defense, and the Billikens have welcomed back 5-10 junior Kwamain Mitchell after he missed all of last year. If the Billikens find some perimeter shooting this season they can look at least average on offense in a hurry. Mind you there should be an unusually large gap in this league between second place (Xavier or Temple) and third (somebody else). I’m not suggesting Rick Majerus should book his team’s flight for New Orleans and the Final Four just yet. But I won’t be surprised if his team’s labeled a surprise.[/left]
O’Neil takes an updated look at A-10 now that conference play is underway. At this point, she likes Henry for ROY and has Braswell as a contender for POY!
Braswell’s play so far does not even merit first-team all-A10.
He needs to improve his inside presence and stop playing weak against tough interiors (Miami, Memphis). Hope those were just blips and not an indication of his toughness.