Since the experiment seems to be pretty closeā¦I thought I would update those that like to know how our RPI will be affected by our next gameās result.
I will post a new RPI tracker for each following game (as long as following the RPI is relevant) for the remainder of the season.
Post-St Joes Winā¦
Current RPI - .5483 which is good for #92
When adding the opponents record data for playing the UMASS game, our RPI will roughly do the following :
With a WIN at UMASSā¦the RPI will improve to approx. .5660 which would put us in the low to mid 60ās
With a LOSS at UMASSā¦the RPI will improve slightly to approx. .5493 which would keep us in the low 90ās
Feel free to discuss big opportunity to make another big jump in the RPI with a road win against a team with a strong recordā¦and strong RPI!!!
Hopefully the players can play their best and coaches can coach their best and it will be one heck of a ballgame. I thought Lutz and Martelli were going to both split a gut in the 1st half. Bad calls both ways. Inconsistent calls both ways in the second half. Also, may no one else be injured.
Since the experiment seems to be pretty close...I thought I would update those that like to know how our RPI will be affected by our next game's result.
I will post a new RPI tracker for each following game (as long as following the RPI is relevant) for the remainder of the season.
Post-St Joes Winā¦
Current RPI - .5483 which is good for #92
When adding the opponents record data for playing the UMASS game, our RPI will roughly do the following :
With a WIN at UMASSā¦the RPI will improve to approx. .5660 which would put us in the low to mid 60ās
With a LOSS at UMASSā¦the RPI will improve slightly to approx. .5493 which would keep us in the low 90ās
Feel free to discuss big opportunity to make another big jump in the RPI with a road win against a team with a strong recordā¦and strong RPI!!!
TRā¦ as I mentioned before, be cautious about making these āpredictions,ā as itās not really possible to accurately do so. While our wins and losses are very important to our RPI, our opponentās wins and losses are even more important (it counts for 50% of the formula). Unless you factor in all of the other games (our opponents games and their opponentās opponents games) that take place between now and the our next game, it will be hard to make an accurate prediction.
Remember when we both predicted an RPI of roughly .5500 with a win over St. Joes (not factoring in the outcomes of other games)? Several of our opponents lost, and it pulled our RPI downā¦ granted, only .0020, but that easily translated into 5 spots on the RPI board. On the flipside, if several of our opponents win on any given night, our RPI could shoot up several spots.
Wow with a win we could jump to 60. Wouldnāt that mean we would have jumped 100 spots in about a 10 days or so?
Man this is a big game. The next 3 after Umass are very winable games. Dont wanna look to far ahead but we could be around 5-1 to start conference play.
TR... as I mentioned before, be cautious about making these 'predictions,' as it's not really possible to accurately do so. While our wins and losses are very important to our RPI, our opponent's wins and losses are even more important (it counts for 50% of the formula). Unless you factor in all of the other games (our opponents games and their opponent's opponents games) that take place between now and the our next game, it will be hard to make an accurate prediction.
Remember when we both predicted an RPI of roughly .5500 with a win over St. Joes (not factoring in the outcomes of other games)? Several of our opponents lost, and it pulled our RPI downā¦ granted, only .0020, but that easily translated into 5 spots on the RPI board. On the flipside, if several of our opponents win on any given night, our RPI could shoot up several spots.
I know it wonāt be exactā¦but it should be a dependable barometer and give us an idea of where we can expect to be (within 4-5 spots) based on a win or a loss. I do plan to update our opponentsā W/L data daily and will update this thread until gameday.
Again, the only data I donāt input myself is the opponentās/opponentās data (that would be insane)ā¦so I back door into that. Iāll do that daily as well.
Still, I agreeā¦it wonāt be EXACTā¦but it will definitely be in the ballpark.
And it makes for great conversation and debate knowing how the RPI will be affected with a W or an L.
Thank Maryland,
slightly sad part is it would of bumped us 30-40 with a win over #21 on the road (remember Clem win got us a 50 pt RPI jump from 160-110
the next 3 games even if we win themā¦ wonāt do anything for RPI, we play # 194 153 160.
At Lasalle is a MUST WIN for us.
I know gambling seems to be a topic lately with Lutz āall inā mantra, but a few of these games we have between now and the tourny are like rolling 6ās in craps. We can double our RPI reward by winning on the road vs a large RPI foe such as at Dayton 14 or URI 21 (note we jumped 50 for winning at 23 Clemson).
We have to win at LaSalleā¦theyāre 2-1 in the A10 now, as well, and have won 3 straight games. I donāt think it will be easy. Ian is expected back for that game and I hope Coley has a chance to heal up some. If we can win that one, I think Fordham and Richmond at home should be easier, then we can head up to Dayton for a grudge match.
We need to rebound, still a lot to play for with only one A10 loss.
We have to win at LaSalle...they're 2-1 in the A10 now, as well, and have won 3 straight games. I don't think it will be easy.
That statement is true but you have to realize they are 2 and 1 in the conference beating Richmond and St. Bonnie, their loss is also to Richmond (how does a team play a team so close???) The three straight are, St. Bonnie, Penn, and Richmond. They are a challenge, as is every team, but they suck and we should win easily.
[QUOTE=ninerID;286544]That statement is true but you have to realize they are 2 and 1 in the conference beating Richmond and St. Bonnie, their loss is also to Richmond (how does a team play a team so close???) The three straight are, St. Bonnie, Penn, and Richmond. They are a challenge, as is every team, but they suck and we should win easily.[/QUOTE]
I donāt think theyāre greatā¦but they are 2-1 in the A10 just like us, and playing at home, so they will have a lot to play for. And given our record on the road, I do not think you can just chalk this one up to a āWā.
We need to do our best to win these āeasierā road games. I donāt think any game will be easy, esp on the road, but if we can win the next three it will help with our positioning in conference and keep us towards the top. We still need a few big road wins but we cannot lose to lower RPI teams the rest of the season if we truly want to have a post-season!
We need to do our best to win these "easier" road games. I don't think any game will be easy, esp on the road, but if we can win the next three it will help with our positioning in conference and keep us towards the top. We still need a few big road wins but we cannot lose to lower RPI teams the rest of the season if we truly want to have a post-season!
Road wins are HUGEā¦but home wins are IMPERATIVEā¦especially against weaker teams.
Right nowā¦
Our RPI is .5527 (#85)
A WIN against LaSalle on the road will only improve our RPI to .5543 (#80) because they are not a strong team (record/RPI wise). A LOSS against LaSalle (even on the road) would be devastating to our RPI. It would drop to .5380 (#108).
These next three are definitely must-wins for RPI watchers.